Eskalering. Thailand inleder flyganfall mot Kambodja...

[MaiChai]

On 2025-12-23 at 13:49, skrev Marlon:

Har det lugnat ner sig, har man satt sig ner och börjat förhandla? En miljon människor på flykt, så jävla tragiskt 

 

Det hålls möten i Ban Laem just nu mellan militärer från båda sidor.

 

https://www.bangkokpost.com/Thailand/general/3162839/Thailand-sets-demands-ahead-of-four-days-of-cambodia-peace-talks?tbref=hp

 

Det kan leda till ett möte mellan ländernas utrikesministrar den 27/12 för att eventuellt signera ett fredsavtal. Tror nog militären är rätt överens och att det nu är politikerna - på båda sidor - som måste mejsla ut ett avtal som gör att båda sidor ses som vinnare på hemmaplan.

[Surin P3]

Vi har hört bomber till och från hela morgonen... 

 

Men de ska väl hållas på tills de har kommit överens om saker.

[måne]

Har pratat med frugan och de påbörjar tillbakaflytt på fredag 🙂frugan bor på hotell(hon har det bra) och resten bor hos släkt utom skyddszonen.Hoppas de inte lämnar innan allt är påskrivet(litar lika mycket på Hun Sen som en ilsken tiger)Verkar ju som det blir en längre vistelse för egen del oxå med början i Januari 😅

[p125]

Är det Kina? Eller det svammel...

 

[Marlon]

Håller tummarna att denna vapenvila nu håller och att alla de som fått lämna sin hem på båda sidor kan få återvända hem och återgå till sin vardag. Så jäkla trött på alla krig och konflikter runt om i världen

Ändrades December 27, 2025 av Marlon

[måne]

Nu får vi se hur länge krigsuppehållet håller,72 timmar från idag ska det träda i kraft så tisdagmorgon planerar frugan att återvända hem till byn

[måne]

On 2025-12-27 at 14:18, skrev måne:

Nu får vi se hur länge krigsuppehållet håller,72 timmar från idag ska det träda i kraft så tisdagmorgon planerar frugan att återvända hem till byn

Nu är byborna varnade för att den 17:e ska det skjutas igen,får nog åka ner och skaka om den där Hun Sen😡

[Peolito]

On 2026-01-12 at 14:43, skrev måne:

Nu är byborna varnade för att den 17:e ska det skjutas igen,får nog åka ner och skaka om den där Hun Sen😡

Ge Hun Sen en schwedtrunk. Var poppis under 30 åriga kriget.

Ändrades Januari 14 av Peolito

[måne]

8 timmar sedan, skrev Peolito:

Ge Hun Sen en schwedtrunk. Var poppis under 30 åriga kriget.

Han borde få svälja en liten ananas(handgranat)

[Surin P3]

Här en analys som jag anser ligga väldigt nära sanningen...

 

 

By
Shawn Blake
per Facebook

 

 

How a Failed Casino Deal and a Leaked Phone Call Lit the Fuse of the Thailand–Cambodia Crisis

The recent flare-up between Thailand and Cambodia has been widely framed online as a nationalist dispute or a border quarrel between two rival states. That narrative is wrong. What actually detonated this crisis was far more mundane—and far more embarrassing: collapsed financial expectations, botched elite maneuvering, and a spectacular act of diplomatic self-sabotage.
This was never about the Thai or Cambodian people. It was about money, power, and a deal that died.

Thailand’s Longstanding Wall Against Gambling

Thailand has some of the strictest gambling laws in Asia, rooted in legislation dating back to 1935 and reinforced by Buddhist moral teachings that classify gambling as a pathway to ruin, addiction, and debt. Legal betting is limited to horse racing and the state lottery. Even private possession of more than 120 playing cards is technically illegal without government approval.

That cultural and legal resistance matters, because it sets the stage for what came next.

Behind the scenes, political elites—both Thai and Cambodian—were quietly pushing a plan that ran directly against public sentiment: a massive “integrated entertainment” casino complex near the Cambodian border. The project was marketed as a tourism booster modeled loosely on Singapore and Macau, with casino floors capped at a small percentage of total space and heavy restrictions on Thai citizens, including a 50-million-baht deposit requirement and steep entry fees to discourage local gambling.

In January 2025, Thailand’s Cabinet approved a draft Integrated Entertainment Business Act to make this possible. But approval on paper did not mean approval in public.

The Casino Deal Collapses

Public opposition was immediate and overwhelming. A 2025 poll by the National Institute of Development Administration showed that 59% of Thais opposed the casino project outright, and nearly 70% rejected legalizing online gambling altogether. Protests followed. Corruption allegations surfaced. Political pressure intensified.
As Thailand’s internal political landscape shifted—and its prime minister was suspended—the bill became radioactive. On July 8, 2025, the government officially withdrew the legislation. The casino dream was dead.

But the money had already moved.
Bribes, consulting fees, speculative investments, and political favors had been exchanged in anticipation of the project. Cambodian elites, in particular, had positioned themselves to profit enormously from the border development. When Thailand pulled the plug, those elites were left holding massive losses.
Resentment set in fast.

 

Cutting the Power to “Scam City”
Then Thailand made a second move—one that struck directly at Cambodia’s shadow economy. Thai authorities cut power and internet access to a Cambodian border industrial zone widely known as “Scam City,” a hub for illegal call centers, online gambling operations, and cyber-fraud networks that generate billions annually.
These operations are not a secret. They are deeply intertwined with elite patronage networks and constitute a critical revenue stream for powerful Cambodian interests. Thailand’s action didn’t just disrupt criminal enterprises—it choked cash flow.
At this point, tensions were already simmering. What followed turned a bad situation into a full-scale strategic disaster.

 

The Phone Call That Blew Everything Up

In June 2025, Hun Sen made what may go down as one of the most self-destructive decisions in modern Southeast Asian diplomacy: he leaked a private phone call with then–Thai Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra.
The apparent goal was to embarrass Bangkok or gain leverage.
Instead, it detonated Cambodia’s entire strategy.
Paetongtarn was one of the few Thai leaders genuinely favorable to Phnom Penh—a conciliatory figure with personal and political ties to Cambodian elites. The leak didn’t weaken her quietly; it obliterated her publicly. She was pushed out almost immediately
.
After a brief caretaker period, Thailand installed Anutin Charnvirakul as prime minister in September 2025—a far more nationalist, military-aligned leader with little patience for Cambodian theatrics and none of Paetongtarn’s personal goodwill.

In a single move, Hun Sen managed to eliminate his best counterpart and replace her with his worst.

From Restraint to Retaliation

The shift in Thai posture was swift and predictable. Backed by a military long frustrated with perceived softness toward Cambodia, Bangkok moved from restraint to resolve.
By early December 2025, border clashes reignited. The Royal Thai Air Force launched F-16 precision strikes into Cambodian territory. Thai forces expanded control along contested border zones. And compounds linked—“coincidentally”—to scam operations began exploding.

These were not symbolic targets. Weapons depots were hit. Drone facilities destroyed. Scam compounds flattened. Illicit funding networks disrupted. Thousands were displaced. Revenue streams vanished.
Cambodia didn’t just lose face—it lost leverage.

 

A Completely Asymmetric Contest

None of this should have surprised anyone. Thailand has overwhelming air superiority, a larger and better-equipped army, deeper financial reserves, and near-total leverage over Cambodia’s border-dependent gray economy. This has always been an asymmetric relationship.
Hun Sen chose to ignore that reality.

Worse still was the reputational damage. In modern diplomacy—authoritarian or democratic—leaders do not publicly dump private conversations with counterparts. Not because they’re virtuous, but because they understand how power works. Backchannels exist so negotiations can happen without destroying future trust.
By leaking the call, Hun Sen signaled to the world that Cambodia cannot be trusted with confidential diplomacy. Every future negotiation just became colder, narrower, and more transactional.

That damage is permanent.
Who Pays the Price?

Not the elites who gambled and lost. Ordinary Cambodians do.
They didn’t ask for border clashes. They didn’t benefit from scam compounds. They don’t gain from airstrikes or economic isolation. But they are the ones who will live with the consequences—reduced trade, heightened instability, and fewer opportunities.
The crisis serves one narrow purpose: allowing Cambodia’s ruling circle to posture as eternal defenders of sovereignty, using external conflict to justify tighter control and extended rule amid growing domestic pressure.
Hun Sen’s gamble didn’t fail quietly. It accelerated Cambodia’s strategic exposure, weakened its bargaining position, and turned a salvageable political setback into a national liability.

This wasn’t bold leadership.
It was incompetence—wrapped in a flag.

Ändrades Januari 15 av Surin P3

[rolba]

Bra sammanfattning på de sista två raderna.

[Nicholas]

4 timmar sedan, skrev Surin P3:

Här en analys som jag anser ligga väldigt nära sanningen...

 

 

By
Shawn Blake
per Facebook

 

 

How a Failed Casino Deal and a Leaked Phone Call Lit the Fuse of the Thailand–Cambodia Crisis

The recent flare-up between Thailand and Cambodia has been widely framed online as a nationalist dispute or a border quarrel between two rival states. That narrative is wrong. What actually detonated this crisis was far more mundane—and far more embarrassing: collapsed financial expectations, botched elite maneuvering, and a spectacular act of diplomatic self-sabotage.
This was never about the Thai or Cambodian people. It was about money, power, and a deal that died.

Thailand’s Longstanding Wall Against Gambling

Thailand has some of the strictest gambling laws in Asia, rooted in legislation dating back to 1935 and reinforced by Buddhist moral teachings that classify gambling as a pathway to ruin, addiction, and debt. Legal betting is limited to horse racing and the state lottery. Even private possession of more than 120 playing cards is technically illegal without government approval.

That cultural and legal resistance matters, because it sets the stage for what came next.

Behind the scenes, political elites—both Thai and Cambodian—were quietly pushing a plan that ran directly against public sentiment: a massive “integrated entertainment” casino complex near the Cambodian border. The project was marketed as a tourism booster modeled loosely on Singapore and Macau, with casino floors capped at a small percentage of total space and heavy restrictions on Thai citizens, including a 50-million-baht deposit requirement and steep entry fees to discourage local gambling.

In January 2025, Thailand’s Cabinet approved a draft Integrated Entertainment Business Act to make this possible. But approval on paper did not mean approval in public.

The Casino Deal Collapses

Public opposition was immediate and overwhelming. A 2025 poll by the National Institute of Development Administration showed that 59% of Thais opposed the casino project outright, and nearly 70% rejected legalizing online gambling altogether. Protests followed. Corruption allegations surfaced. Political pressure intensified.
As Thailand’s internal political landscape shifted—and its prime minister was suspended—the bill became radioactive. On July 8, 2025, the government officially withdrew the legislation. The casino dream was dead.

But the money had already moved.
Bribes, consulting fees, speculative investments, and political favors had been exchanged in anticipation of the project. Cambodian elites, in particular, had positioned themselves to profit enormously from the border development. When Thailand pulled the plug, those elites were left holding massive losses.
Resentment set in fast.

 

Cutting the Power to “Scam City”
Then Thailand made a second move—one that struck directly at Cambodia’s shadow economy. Thai authorities cut power and internet access to a Cambodian border industrial zone widely known as “Scam City,” a hub for illegal call centers, online gambling operations, and cyber-fraud networks that generate billions annually.
These operations are not a secret. They are deeply intertwined with elite patronage networks and constitute a critical revenue stream for powerful Cambodian interests. Thailand’s action didn’t just disrupt criminal enterprises—it choked cash flow.
At this point, tensions were already simmering. What followed turned a bad situation into a full-scale strategic disaster.

 

The Phone Call That Blew Everything Up

In June 2025, Hun Sen made what may go down as one of the most self-destructive decisions in modern Southeast Asian diplomacy: he leaked a private phone call with then–Thai Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra.
The apparent goal was to embarrass Bangkok or gain leverage.
Instead, it detonated Cambodia’s entire strategy.
Paetongtarn was one of the few Thai leaders genuinely favorable to Phnom Penh—a conciliatory figure with personal and political ties to Cambodian elites. The leak didn’t weaken her quietly; it obliterated her publicly. She was pushed out almost immediately
.
After a brief caretaker period, Thailand installed Anutin Charnvirakul as prime minister in September 2025—a far more nationalist, military-aligned leader with little patience for Cambodian theatrics and none of Paetongtarn’s personal goodwill.

In a single move, Hun Sen managed to eliminate his best counterpart and replace her with his worst.

From Restraint to Retaliation

The shift in Thai posture was swift and predictable. Backed by a military long frustrated with perceived softness toward Cambodia, Bangkok moved from restraint to resolve.
By early December 2025, border clashes reignited. The Royal Thai Air Force launched F-16 precision strikes into Cambodian territory. Thai forces expanded control along contested border zones. And compounds linked—“coincidentally”—to scam operations began exploding.

These were not symbolic targets. Weapons depots were hit. Drone facilities destroyed. Scam compounds flattened. Illicit funding networks disrupted. Thousands were displaced. Revenue streams vanished.
Cambodia didn’t just lose face—it lost leverage.

 

A Completely Asymmetric Contest

None of this should have surprised anyone. Thailand has overwhelming air superiority, a larger and better-equipped army, deeper financial reserves, and near-total leverage over Cambodia’s border-dependent gray economy. This has always been an asymmetric relationship.
Hun Sen chose to ignore that reality.

Worse still was the reputational damage. In modern diplomacy—authoritarian or democratic—leaders do not publicly dump private conversations with counterparts. Not because they’re virtuous, but because they understand how power works. Backchannels exist so negotiations can happen without destroying future trust.
By leaking the call, Hun Sen signaled to the world that Cambodia cannot be trusted with confidential diplomacy. Every future negotiation just became colder, narrower, and more transactional.

That damage is permanent.
Who Pays the Price?

Not the elites who gambled and lost. Ordinary Cambodians do.
They didn’t ask for border clashes. They didn’t benefit from scam compounds. They don’t gain from airstrikes or economic isolation. But they are the ones who will live with the consequences—reduced trade, heightened instability, and fewer opportunities.
The crisis serves one narrow purpose: allowing Cambodia’s ruling circle to posture as eternal defenders of sovereignty, using external conflict to justify tighter control and extended rule amid growing domestic pressure.
Hun Sen’s gamble didn’t fail quietly. It accelerated Cambodia’s strategic exposure, weakened its bargaining position, and turned a salvageable political setback into a national liability.

This wasn’t bold leadership.
It was incompetence—wrapped in a flag.

ja, men det kommer ju påverka kambodjas elit, en stor del av deras inkomstkälla är ju väck.

Att all denna "scam" har backning av staten oavsett var den befinner sig är ingen hemlighet.
Jag visste dock inte att dom hade en "stad" för det, och jag förstår inte varför Thailand höll med internet och el, låg den på thailändsk mark ?, en del pengar borde rullat till Thailand då.
Shinawatra familjen har nog diskat sig från framtida inflytande, dom verkar hell-bent på att vara laglösa.
Dom är förvisso inte ensamma om det.

Frågan är hur länge det kommer pyra.
Om nu den kambodjanska elitens inkomster via scam har minskat kraftigt så lär väl det drabba hun-shen, hans platform blir svagare, kanske blir det en "revolution", eller så får inte hans son ärva makten, eller vad som var planen.


 

[MaiChai]

On 2026-01-15 at 05:49, skrev Nicholas:

ja, men det kommer ju påverka kambodjas elit, en stor del av deras inkomstkälla är ju väck.

Att all denna "scam" har backning av staten oavsett var den befinner sig är ingen hemlighet.
Jag visste dock inte att dom hade en "stad" för det, och jag förstår inte varför Thailand höll med internet och el, låg den på thailändsk mark ?, en del pengar borde rullat till Thailand då.
Shinawatra familjen har nog diskat sig från framtida inflytande, dom verkar hell-bent på att vara laglösa.
Dom är förvisso inte ensamma om det.

Frågan är hur länge det kommer pyra.
Om nu den kambodjanska elitens inkomster via scam har minskat kraftigt så lär väl det drabba hun-shen, hans platform blir svagare, kanske blir det en "revolution", eller så får inte hans son ärva makten, eller vad som var planen.


 

 

En del av den thailändska eliten tjänade också bra på de kambodjanska scam centralerna - eliten som verkar i de gränsliggande provinserna.

 

Hun Sen borde kunnat räkna ut med hjälp av arschlet och en krita att läcker han samtalet med Paetongtarn Shinawatra så ryker hon all världens väg och därmed allt förtroende för Shinawatras som ändå var hans direkta linje in i thailands politik.

 

Tror det kommer pyra i Kambodja, Hun Sen börjar bli gammal och senil och sonen är inte heller den skarpaste kniven i lådan så hans drag blir kanske dödsstöten för på hans familjs inflytande och även Shinawatras inflytande?

 

Men som vanligt är det ju de fattiga på båda sidor gränsen som får betala det högsta priset för elitens tuppfäktning.

[p125]

Just in

 https://www.nationthailand.com/news/asean/40061710

 

[wavis]

Någon som har koll på händelserna , Suttit nu en vecka en mil syd Soeng sang o inte hört något flyg, Men i kväll flygs det hela tiden o rätt många plan i luften.